President Trump announced last week that NAFTA was going to be renegotiated. The blackpill brigade on Twitter went into "Oh no, he he promised he he said NAFTA would go away, what a betrayal" mode. Regular people recall his campaign rhetoric and Trump went from let's leave NAFTA to let's negotiate a better deal to simply complaining about NAFTA. This is a great step that offers opportunities for American workers with some distant clouds of danger.
NAFTA was a bipartisan effort to benefit capital over the average worker. Sold as a way for American goods to be sold cheaper in Canada and Mexico, it really was a way for American capital to invest in Canada and Mexico to skirt American environmental regulations and standards of living. It was another example of former President Clinton pulling the Democrats under the FIRE economy's thumb and away from its old labor ties. The only public figure at the time against it seemed to be Ross Perot with his patriotic sense of noblesse oblige.
It took nearly 25 years and another version of Perot to win the presidency in order to even consider renegotiating NAFTA. Former president Obama flirted with it on the campaign trail in 2008. The current system said, "Sorry kid, can't mess with the good sheep shearing business we have going". The opportunity here is that America can renegotiate for more favorable terms for the people that came out for Trump in the upper Midwest on the hopes that some decent jobs that do not require thousands in college debt would return.
This is prime time to hold Mexico over the barrel. Is Mexico a straight up failed state, a narco-state or a muddling state of great potential? It is hard to tell but failed state looks more appropriate. It is bad enough when the leadership in Mexico openly threatens to unleash the cartels if President Trump were to push forward with all his border promises. Note that even Playa Del Carmen is seeing cartel massacres and violence now, and that was the final vacation hot spot that was free of cartel violence. Safety and security is that bad in Mexico even in those lush spots.
The danger is that the Kushnerites and Goldman crowd renegotiates NAFTA and inserts a bunch of TPP style provisions and screws American workers over. It would be a renegotiation that shifts the terms even more in capital's favor. There is a chance the Kushner wing is this incredibly stupid, but if re-election depends on the Big 10 Sailer strategy, then they will feed the manufacturing spots of the Midwest with red meat. All of Trump's meetings with union heads since the election have probably focused on this. If labor unions have been screwed by the Democrats since the Clinton admin, they may be far more open to a nominal Republican's promises.
The media should be asking why it took this long for any president to consider renegotiating NAFTA. Why did not W renegotiate it after a decade of seeing the adverse effects and why did Obama fail to address it after a decade of supposedly fighting for the working class? We know why. The entire pundit class was supportive of free flow of capital and labor, which means capital since labor has a harder time moving. Academia churned out reports stating free trade helped by 1% or added 100,000 jobs. Academics could not be pinned down by inquiring journalists (on the same ideological team) where the jobs were gained and where they were lost. Lost in this were the detrimental effects not just in employment but in entire communities as plants closed.
For the blackpillers out there, to consider America ending NAFTA entirely was a pipe dream. Trade agreements between the three nations existed prior to NAFTA. NAFTA was a consolidation of them as well as an acceleration. Mexico had to realize this was coming someday unless America formally annexed Mexico. At the rate of Mexicanization of America, this might have been 2025 had Clinton won.
Trump threatening to pull out of NAFTA is so fear inducing because he was such a wild card that Mexico will consider any renegotiations as a best alternative to America leaving. This negotiation tactic is jumping so far outside the window of normal to drag the other partner closer to your intended landing point. A classic example is a man continuously hinting at eloping, and then when proposing says 'let's elope', forcing the woman to then negotiate up from 0 for guests as a compromise. Had the man said "100 guest wedding" when the woman wanted 200, the negotiations start from 100 on up.
Pull the blackpill IV out for one moment and wait to see the results of negotiations. If NAFTA becomes worse, then chug the blackpill nectar. Until then, keep fighting the culture war online and in your communities. You will not be in the NAFTA renegotiations room, but you can be the lighthouse for normies and regular people to slowly push back on the prog dominated culture we live in.