New essay up at Social Matter. There is an old essay from 1999 by the Chinese that perked a Westerner's interest, and that caught my eye as well. If the Chinese have been thinking this way for that long, it explains their moves. It also explains openings for far smaller players as the USG grip weakens.
America, operating its empire, has used multiple fronts to push nations around for decades. Greater power in the hands of smaller actors suddenly makes asymmetric warfare in those realms much more enticing.