Friday, October 30, 2015

Last Week's SM, Preview This Week's 20

I did not watch the debate but it appears the Trump was not stumped again. Senators Cruz and Rubio appeared to perform well, but how much of Rubio's good performance is the GOP Establishment wanting voters to believe he did well. I bet they both pick up some Carson supporters. Nixon was right, they are coalescing around him. I could not have timed my Jeb post better. I can see this resolving itself with a Trump-Rubio ticket. It will be considered a "unity" ticket. It balances things out nicely for the GOP (youth, corporate stooge, handsome), secures a swing state (Florida) and slides Rubio into a job with responsibilities that match his talents (none). As much as I think Trump-Cruz would crush Hillary-Puppet in debates, Trump-Rubio would pacify the GOPe.

Did you catch the massaging of one poll with limited reach and a high margin of error being used by the media as a sign that Trump is done? It was timed perfectly for the lead into the debate, but then Carson had another comatose performance. The media is doing anything to slow down the Trump Train. Of course, multiple other polls showed Trump comfortably ahead, but if you ever doubted the use of polls to guide the electorate, you have had all doubts removed. I still don't see Trump doing anything to change the course of our country, but he has destroyed a Bush and is sending shitlibs into hysterics. I am thankful to watch the Trump steamroller in action.

Last week I tackled the fact that the Democrats' debate stage was full of ghosts of their past with no relation to their future. The betrayal of the Jim Webb whites is a shame by the progressive white leadership, but the Bernie Sanders' whites are going away through lack of reproduction. This week I am spotlighting a possible solution for Syria. It has nothing to do with the war, but everything to do with reducing the desire of one of the main US coalition partners to see change. It will also help Egypt.


Creepy. That was the post-debate word to describe former Senator Jim Webb's performance in the Democrat's presidential debate. His story about his wartime experience and killing a man was creepy to the left's viewership. His stories barely drew applause or any positive reaction. Webb looked lost there and sounded as if he did not belong. This was not because he was an old white man, as the stage was all white with multiple candidates over Social Security's full retirement age. The party had left him behind. It has left what he represented behind. Webb's creepy, stranger in a strange land and lost performance fits perfectly as he was a ghost of the Democrats' past.

Webb has since pulled out of the race. He had no shot at the nomination, but his withdrawal reveals a truth about what the Democrats have become. The party's demographics have become so diverse that a candidate must either be plugged into the Establishment's money sources, which can afford to lay out the social welfare programs to secure minority support, one must be a minority or so progressive that the candidate spouts the latest fringe left political talking points. A Democrat's 51% general election winning voter bloc is made up of 40% of whites, 95% of blacks, 66% of Hispanics/Asians/Gays. Being of a minority group will help secure a piece of the fringe, so if you are not, you better have the cash or the far left lunacy on your lips to cobble together a coalition. Webb did not represent any of that, and in doing so, reveals just how much the Democrats have changed.

American political parties represent interests, and beyond the large economic interests of the donor class, they represent small economic and social concerns of their foot soldiers and voting blocs. The progressives took over a political party that was the Solid South and big city machines. When contemporary conservatives wail about the Democrats being the party of the KKK, all they are doing is reminding you that once upon a time, the GOP was the party of radical social change and Democrats of social conservatism. The Solid South was just the white economic power structure; party affiliation meant little to them. Modern conservatives miss the point that parties change who they represent, and at one time, the Democrats used the South and the working class white vote to win. They rode that city machine-Solid South combination to electoral victory throughout the 20th Century. Without the South, they lose in Wilson's re-election in '16, JFK's '60 election, and Carter's win in '76. Those rednecks and crackers that Jim Webb represents with his military service and Scots-Irish roots were the voting muscle that pulled the lever for Democrats throughout the 20th Century.

The 1976 election mattered as a multi-month theatrical production for saving the image of the Left. The Left had switched to catering to the nascent McGovern Coalition, but was trying to trick the rest of the nation into thinking that it had not junked the white union and working class yet. Jim Webb would have been at home. The 1976 Democratic National Convention had Ron Kovic, Marine, Vietnam vet and purple heart recipient, speak of the trials and troubles of veterans. That convention famously staged the closing with Jimmy Carter onscreen in front of liberal George McGovern and Dixiecrat George Wallace holdings hands. This was a massive optics rehabilitation after the back to back disastrous conventions of '68 and '72. With Dixiecrat support in elections, the progressive brain trust could mold the legal system through court nominations, create the regulatory infrastructure they wanted for control of our economy, and pad budgets to secure greater loyalty from business interests.

To steal a progressive media term, the Dixiecrats were problematic. The changes the far left in the mid-20th Century wanted were being held up by a political system that granted power to these Dixiecrats who aligned often with Northern conservative politicians. The Port Huron statement by the SDS explicitly states this as a target to attack. Starting in the '60s, the New Left attacked the Dixiecrats while enabling the immigration onslaught at every turn. Adding in immigration, the progressives simply replaced elastic white voters with questionable loyalty to progressive whims and new ideas with more reliable foreigners who could be bought. Even in the 1990s, Democrats like Barbara Jordan wanted to see immigration curtailed and reformed to help lower income white and black Americans. Nothing came of it. By then for the Left, it was too late. The decision to junk the working class and union whites who crossed the line to vote for Nixon (hardhats) in '72 and then Reagan (Reagan Democrats) in '80 and '84 was set. Webb must have missed the memo to change parties.

Webb is not the only ghost on the stage. He was joined by another as Senator Bernie Sanders, old school socialist, spoke of policies like in Denmark, Sweden and Norway. Sanders forgot that those policies are in nations with very large white majorities and unified cultures. Even times are changing in those nations with Europe's immigration policies. They are facing a decision of keeping the welfare state or keeping borders open. Sanders has mentioned curtailing some immigration in America, but that puts him in opposition to the donor class' interests. White progressives upset Obama did not live up to progressive expectations are already ambivalent on Clinton, but the donor class is not. Sanders may represent the socialist soul of the Democrats, but he cannot raise money from the Establishment donors.

Senator Sanders is openly socialist, and the party has drifted in his direction but not exactly how he and who he represents envisions socialism. Pay attention to his rally locations and the audiences. They are in Whitopian states and the audiences are whiter than a Whole Foods on Saturday. Sanders message will fall flat with minorities who just want their cut of the economic redistribution pie. With the growing minority share in the American Left, how much of a future does environmentalism and civil liberties of any sort have on the Left? Minorities stopped Prop 8 in California. As their power grows, what white progressive pet causes get stomped in the mud? His party has become so diverse that the progressive economic message has been squeezed by corporate interests above and by the need to placate the diverse voter bloc screaming for "gimmedats" below.

While Sanders' problem of there not being enough white progressives on their own to overcome an Establishment candidate like Clinton is a harsh reality of the Left's voter coalition, Webb's problem is far more troublesome. The disconnect between a veteran sharing his experiences and an entire voter bloc reveals the separation the Left has made with our military. The silence and little applause for Webb when he mentioned our military shows the deep fissure between the Left's base and martial values and the spirit of what it takes to keep the barbarians at bay. Rotherham should be all that is needed to know the Western Left will sell the natives out to the barbarians for ideological reasons. The anti-war posturing is repulsive when one considers how it has been the Left in charge, nominally, of foreign policy and the military for the last seven years. The stupidity of Marie Harf saying ISIS could be defeated with jobs and memes is not a stand-alone, out of touch elite problem. The Left has forgotten that, sometimes, one needs to fight. Who will fight for them?

Webb and Sanders will walk away and melt into the presidential mists. Webb's one "creepy" line will be a joke for a late night comedy cycle, and some whites will wax nostalgic for Sanders in time, "oh gosh, if only he'd beaten Hillary, the socialist utopia would be here". The Big Business puppets will continue their spot in the circus, just now in a Hispanic or black form. Empty suits like Barack Obama, Julian Castro and Cory Booker who can string along some talking points and read off teleprompters are the future of the Left.

The speed of the change should be a cause for alarm for those white progressives and white working class voters that make up the 40% of whites who still vote Democrat. Webb was elected to the Senate in 2006. Ten years later, he is no longer welcome in his party. Of the 40% of whites that vote Democrat, how many of them will recognize that their hopes for a Sanders or Webb type are never coming true? Where will they turn? How soon do they rebel against a system that has turned them, not just their political symbols, into ghosts?


sykes.1 said...

Historically, Fascism, Naziism and Communism are totalitarian forms of socialism, and they were popular, in part, because they promised that a Strong Man could break the gridlock and deliver the goodies to the proles. It is possible that the current democratic socialist (Sanders phrase) Democrat Party will evolve in that direction, especially if it could find a charismatic leader. If they do, a large majority of the American people will roll over and ask to have their bellies scratched.

Alexandros HoMegas said...

Hey SOBL, remember that I wrote that Rand Paul was't going anywhere because of jewish hatred toward his father and Libertarianism? Look at the jewish Tablet Mag:

"To have somebody like Ron Paul alive is like having a cancer. His big catch-phrase is “the New World Order.” Do you know what the new world order is? The new world order is where the Jews control everything. It’s another way of saying ZOG, the Zionist Occupation Government. It’s dog-whistle politics."

"Do you feel the same way about Ron’s kid, Rand Paul?"

"Yeah. He wants to cut off aid to Israel. And he goes to Israel and says how much he likes the place and then ultimately he wants to destroy it. You know what he was named after? The Rand, the South African currency."

Son of Brock Landers said...

sykes - yeah the media is always going to fear a corn bread, right wing Hitler when the greater likelihood is a charismatic beige Hitler for the Left. I just dont see how this shitshow stays together for 15-20 more years.

Alexandros - Interesting link. Rand tried to dance the dance for pro-Israel donors, which made it even more shameful. It is interesting how Jews hate libertarianism yet some of libertarianism's best thinkers were Jewish. Maybe an intra-Jew ideological divide like zionism vs. communism. I know the Jews hate the goyim and Muslims intensely, but intra-Jew hatred seems to top it.

Portlander said...

As much as I think Trump-Cruz would crush Hillary-Puppet in debates, Trump-Rubio would pacify the GOPe.

Riffing on Sailer & Turkey, I think Trump's choice of running mate shows how serious he takes US deep-state. Trump-Cruz, he takes it seriously and doesn't want to have an accidental fall out of Marine One. Trump-Rubio, no worries.

Son of Brock Landers said...

Portlander, Cruz or Rubio pacify the GOPe either way, but Rubio adds in the magical unity BS. I had thought Paul/Cruz/Rubio were VP material, still do, but I thought Walker would be the guy to win the nom after Bridgegate destroyed Christie. Walker's flame out is truly interesting. He was a competent executive, capable campaigner and had a nice start, but he was overwhelmed by Trump.

Interesting thing is going to be if Trump keeps this up and rolls, how many of the paleocons and guys excluded by the neocon club come out of the woodwork to support him and ask for patronage jobs? That is a YUGE pool of political talent as well as leeches. It could clean out the neocons from positions and at a minimum, massively reduce their influence, which is why they are so goddamn scared of Trump.

Andrew E. said...

Another one of the great things Trump is doing for the GOP (and the country) is dismantling the whole narrative and rationale for the Bush/neocon foreign policy (wars forever). Snakes like Mark Thiessen with plastic grins are starting to feel the heat and pleading the Fox News audiences to get behind "a real candidate."

Anonymous said...

Cruz being born in Canada would seem to take Trump-Cruz off the table. Of course not legally, but for the Donald's integrity after the birther stuff.