When writing yesterday on the weird, perfect window for Israel to strike Iran that is right now, I tipped my hat to Iran's work on the international stage. While I do not support their goals, I have praised the weird and masterful job the Iranians have pulled manipulating the good old USG. They have spent over 35 years on rogue nation footing, 15 years on an axis of evil and countless years demonized as the Middle East baddie #1, yet they are on the doorstep to a nuclear agreement that looks to be in their favor. I do think they have a nuclear program that has a goal of weapons. Sorry if it were just about energy, they would come clean and use only thorium. Part of the American problem is geopolitics, part is domestic politics and part is the likely capabilities of Iran's program now. Still, what a job by the Iranians.
America's Middle East strategy is what exactly? Anyone have an idea? Is it to reshape the map entirely? Are we trying to help our long time allies? is it just about pipelines and the petrodollar? I do not think anyone could say right now. Even more pathetic, we seem to be playing up to the Shia and disrespecting our Sunni allies. We have made our Zionist and petrodollar imperial bed, and we must lie in it. This outreach to Iran might make sense if we did not know our two biggest allies in the region, Israel and the Saudis, are incredibly mad and very attractive potential clients for Russia and China. Is USG trying to snag Iran as a blue empire client but forgetting the years they have been working with Russia and China? Does it come down to dragging a new big piece into the dollar system? Difference between Iran and the US, their mullahs run the show and just interchange front men. Our system has the State Dept at war with the Pentagon with their respective blue and red empires, and the party who sits in the White House makes a difference.
Our domestic politics plays into their hands. We have a lame duck president, looking for any item to tack onto his legacy. USG just reached out to the Castros. Because our political situation is so broken, bought and dysfunctional, focus and effort that could be spent on anything domestically is not going to happen as everything is dead on arrival. Obama and his cronies need this more than the Iranians do. The Iranians have been describing his team as desperate to get a deal done. This is despite Iranians having war games where they attack large naval vessels. This is a problem of limited term, democratic representative government. Short termism.
One thing I have found interesting recently is the weird turn of events where the left is treating this possible deal like the greatest thing in the history of negotiations that they will accept no matter what. The "#47Traitors" hashtag that was either organic or astroturf is comical to watch. It reveals the behavior on both sides have devolved to simple tribal affiliation. This is the same left that in 2002-2003 when Bush and company got the Iraq war going were crying, "Go after Iran, not Iraq", and crying that the Iranians had an active nuclear program unlike Saddam. The left spouting off on the rather weird GOP letter to Iran gives the Iranians cover they could never have expected looking at American opinion polls re: Iran since 2000. What a gift to the Iranian regime. What an indictment of our system.
These weak negotiations and the amazing work by the Iranians in the face of everything is incredible. Looking at the Wisconsin Project's data, Iran has kept capabilities at a level where they can assemble an actual bomb in short order but have not actually made a bomb. Smart play. The Wisconsin Project was not founded by an Israeli boot licker. These negotiations and agreements after the failed green revolution are more to make a situation as best as possible for the reality of Iran's capabilities. The Iranian nuke program is a fait accompli that the USG is trying to sell as palatable for the American public. Iran has played the hard to get hot chick for so long that they have fended off previous calls for bombing them whether American or Israeli. It looks like it will work for them. I just hope for the interests of America that the hard to get pretty girl at the bar is not just the work of smoke and club lighting.