The Ukraine turned towards Russia and China in a simple economic act by its political leadership, which was followed with American orchestrated protests, pressure and meddling. The US is so organized that they want to place a heavyweight boxer in charge of the new political infrastructure. Ukraine may just be the start of stepping away from the clutches of the USG. The 800 pound, drunk gorilla that is the USG may set their eyes on Hungary next. Hungary is in the midst of both a rightward lurch and a turn to Russia. The rightward turn received criticism from Brussels and stirred the NY Times; we will see if the integration with Russia draws out the jackals.
Hungary's recent moves have played into Russia's vision for greater regional influence and control, and moved Hungary towards a more independent economic and security situation. Prime Minister Obran first announced support for the South Stream pipeline, which will send natural gas to central European markets, pleasing Gazprom. Because of the recent political moves to give the government greater flexibility with making decisions and rights with energy matters for the state owned enterprise MVM, Obran could work the deal with Gazprom directly. This comes as the EU is close to scrapping the NABUCCO pipeline deal, but may well be the deathblow. After the natural gas announcement, Hungary struck a deal with the Russians to expand their nuclear power plant (could be 45% of all national electricity), including $14 billion in Russian loans. Hungary's moves, like the Ukraine's, are economic deals of necessity but deals that do not come with sacrificing national cultural integrity. Russia's positiong as anti-socialist America is similar to China's "respect all forms of government" speech. This will resonate with more nations as the US money vault runs lower and progressive beliefs come with a bag of money at the end of a gun sight. Hungary is a small nation so they may fly under the USG radar. They are also a small nation that will always need a patron so the USG might be forced to take notice losing a client.
Obran's party and allies came to power with a rather large majority and transformed the constitution as well as clamped down on the media. The government passed laws that human rights watchers perceive as anti-gay, restricting women's rights and curbing voting for the mentally limited. This is basically a rejection of the US-EU progressive buffet of social policy. It is not shocking to see this and then see Hungary strikes economic deals outside the US-EU monetary sphere. The Hungarians have poked the sleeping bear though, and the NY Times was on the case to open an exploration for 2014 for Hungary's anti-Semitism. The weepy eyed essay that used few facts to talk of Hungary today, centered on the actions during the '30s and '40s. Jobbik gets around 12-16% of the vote. While their views are condemned by the political coalition in power, this is still not enough for the NY Times to resist smearing the entire nation of Hungary as one step away from restarting the Holocaust. One could argue that the NY Times is using this behavior as a proxy for populist anger at Chris Lasch's managerial elites who hold less allegiance to their home nations and more to a transnational mindset. This magnifying glass will stay in place for 2014. Do not be surprised to see stories released once these deals with Russia are locked into place and shovels hit dirt. I will await their series on the ethnic cleansing of Christians out of the Middle East.
Like the Ukraine, this is an old Russian sphere player moving back into Russian orbit. The Hungarian existence in Western created institutions may have been the more temporary of situations. Hungary had been a kingdom for centuries after the resolution of the Hungarians Invasions as a part of the West but due to Ottoman influence, fighting or rule faced completely different problems than the West. Hungary had been part of the Hapsburg Empire for decades prior to the Interwar Period, not part of the western parliamentarian tradition. The drunken Mad Max driver that is the USG may steer the SUV in their direction, but as the Ponzi gets closer to finishing, may the fools making decisions decide to keep their hands off some little nations. In the meantime Hungarians, keep an eye out for youths in hoodies with posters in English.